Taiwan should speed up adoption of a “porcupine” approach to its own defense, enabling it to inflict substantial damage to any invasion force through development of asymmetrical capabilities.
It is critical for the world to learn from mainland China’s previous conquest of Taiwan as a guide to how China may seek to seize that island again.
When a nation newly ascends or returns to the status of a leading international power, it often feels the need to publicly demonstrate its rise through a brief, victorious war. Today, China’s increasing strength may tempt it to pursue such a conflict, and not necessarily with Taiwan, if it anticipates—perhaps incorrectly—that victory will be swift, decisive and demonstrative.
